Wednesday, August 31, 2022

Form guides

The ballot will close at 5pm on Friday 2 September.  I know it may be personalised, but there's no obvious item about Sunak v Truss on my 'front page' of BBC News. 

Please can we have some informed speculation. Clearly aides to Truss have taken a risk-adverse approach to facing Nick Robinson, which may mean things are closer than the bookies think -  they have Truss at 16/1 on (a little away from a previous 25/1/on0, and Sunak at 33/2.  The last poll of Conservative Party members suggested 64% backing Truss and 36% for Sunak. 

Done and dusted. And yet, according to Guido Fawkes, it's much closer amongst Tory MPs - 44.2% for Truss, 38.9% for Sunak, with 16.9% undeclared.  Presumably some of these MPs are in touch with the voting members - are they really that much out of sync with them ?

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