Thursday, April 2, 2020

Help

I feel the need for a one-page-graph Covid graph for the UK - which may not be possible. The x-axis is time, starting January 1st 2020, the y-axis is total UK population (needs to be super-logarithmic).

I want to track the overall UK death rate; UK hospital deaths from Covid; the ONS register of deaths from/associated with Covid; the number of hospital admissions for Covid; the number of those leaving hospital having recovered from Covid; the number of people who may have identified with Covid symptoms, short of requiring hospital, through calls or online exchanges with 111 or their GPs (somebody must be doing that).

Time needs to be 12 months - the earliest we're told a vaccine might come. Clearly, modelling and trajectory estimates are needed to get to how many die before we get to a vaccine.  Can it be done ?

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