OK, before we get hysterical about tonight's Euro results, let's remember that the party that doesn't have an MP, doesn't control a local council, lost share of local votes between 2013 and 2014, couldn't win a seat in London, and couldn't run a carnival in Croydon, historically does well in European polling, and then drops back. One suspects it's because many people feel a Euro vote is just a bit of fun cf saucy Polish milkmaids in Eurovision. UKIP share of vote below - pollsters are are talking in a range of 25% to 29% tonight.
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